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Thursday, September 6, 2007
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   Thursday, September 6, 2007

Home Based Business Is A Joke!
The entire idea of home based businesses is a joke to me. Why in God's name does it matter where in the hell business is conducted? For some reason the term home based business has come to mean the idea of living some sort of fantasy life while conducting business out or you home and making a ton of money in the process. How in God's name did this happen? Why has the entire idea of home based businesses become such a joke?
The entire landscape of home business opportunities is full of more snakes than that tomb in the first Indiana Jones movie. There are weasels out there proclaiming that you can have a home business and they will do most of the work for you. All you have to do is by into the "business" and collect the checks. I put the term business in quotes because in the case of 99% of home business opportunities out there the term is used more loosely than a freshly opened can of creamed corn. Honestly, how realistic is it that you can make money with little or no effort? I'll let you in on a little law of the universe…IT'S NOT REALISTIC.
Do you know what's interesting about this? I'm a guy who has a successful home based business. I have a business that I work out of my home, and make money. I simply want people to realize that the fact that the business is conducted out of my home means nothing. It hasn't been "easy" and no one else has done the work for me. This is my point. The idea of a home based business is a joke. It makes no difference where the business is conducted from.
So, as you navigate the mine field known as home based business opportunities, remember: If you don't follow your passion, you're in trouble. You must fell passionately about whatever it is that you do, or what's the point? We all came to this earth to find and fulfill our destiny, and that means that there aren't any shortcuts. And as you tip toe through this mine field, please remember what your Mother told you: If it sounds too good to be true…..IT IS!!!!!
Trevor Kugler is co-founder of JRWfishing.com and an avid angler. He has more than 20 years experience fishing for all types of fish, and 15 years of business and internet experience. He currently raises his three year old daughter in the heart of trout fishing country…..Montana!

Get It All For One LOW Price!
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Where To Go-a-hunting For Your Chinese ATV Parts
In the past, when you mention about Chinese ATVs, you will most likely get this blank and horrified looks on the faces of ATV enthusiasts, but if you ask around these days, you would be pleasantly surprised to know that Chinese ATVs are no longer what they used to term “junk ATVs” anymore. It is a well-known fact that Chinese ATVs are a lot cheaper compared to some of those top-of-the line ATVs like Yamaha, Polaris or Bombardier, but the misconception about Chinese ATVs being just something that you pick out of the junkyard is changing. There are more and more people out there who agree that the quality of Chinese ATVs are improving, but to be brutally honest, not all Chinese ATV dealers may have the parts available whenever you need them though.
Let’s just say you own a Chinese ATV and you are in need of some parts for your ATV and you have tried asking your dealer but he’s out of stocks – what do you do? Do you wait for the parts to arrive or are you the type that’s really anxious to get your machine going? If you are anything like me at all – and that would be being an impatient person, you would go all out to search for the parts that you’d need for your Chinese ATV. Hence, I’m glad to say that one of the most reliable Chinese ATV parts suppliers that you can find available in the ATV market is Kazuma ATV Parts. In fact, if you can’t find any Chinese ATV parts that you need online, you can always check out or call them toll free at 1-888-529-8621.
Kazuma ATV Parts is the only source for all Kazuma ATV parts, Chinese ATV parts and Kid ATV parts that will ship in all the parts that you need for your ATV the same day, or latest, the following day itself. If you have been going in circles trying to locate parts for your Chinese ATV and can’t seem to find a dealer who has what you want, is the place to go. They carry all Chinese ATV and Kid ATV parts such as Redcat ATV parts, Lifan ATV parts, Dinli ATV parts, Baja ATV parts and not forgetting their very own trademark – Kazuma ATV parts too! It’s the ultimate place to go for all your ATV parts needs – be it for your own ATV or your kids’ ATVs. Even your kid will be thrilled to know that they no longer have to hear excuses like “The parts are on its way” or “Sorry, but try again next week” when they need certain parts for their ATVs. At you will find that they specialize in all the difficult-to-find Kid ATV parts – if you can’t find it anywhere else, you can find it at Kazuma ATV Parts.
There is also something else that I like about Kazuma ATV Parts and that is they have great service technicians, who have excellent knowledge regarding Kazuma/Redcat ATV parts. If you have questions or trouble related to your Kazuma/Redcat ATVs, they are able to trouble shoot and resolve your issues quickly. Kazuma ATV Parts is definitely your one stop shop for all your ATV part needs – if your ATV has been lying idle in your garage waiting for its parts, don’t just sit there biting your nails trying to figure out how to resolve your ATV parts problems, give Kazuma ATV Parts a call today or visit their website at for more information! The sooner you do that, the sooner you will get to ride on your ATV again!


Know Your Bullpens
This has probably happened to you more times than you can count - the starter for the team you have bet on has a decent outing, he hands it over to the bullpen with a comfortable lead, and you feel good. But then his relievers do their best impressions of a tee-ball tee and your money goes flying out of your pocket. I'm not sure that there is anything more frustrating than an implosion by a bullpen in an otherwise winnable game. Despite that, though, most baseball handicappers are guilty of spending too little time considering the bullpens when they make a pick in a game.
Starting pitchers are so fragile and carefully protected these days that it is notable when one goes past the seventh inning. In most cases, the bullpen will be called on to throw a third of the game. That's a significant reality. Of course, knowing that bullpens significantly affect outcomes of games is useless knowledge if you don't have a way to measure the impact and to profit from it.
The first thing you have to remember when looking at bullpens is that the ERA of the group often has little direct relationship to the effectiveness of the team as a betting proposition. Good teams often have good bullpens, but a struggling team can also have solid relievers and, in some cases, a team can be good despite who it hands the ball to in late innings. The results this year illustrate that well. The top two bullpens in baseball, the Mets and the Red Sox, also have the second and third best records in the league. Both teams have been profitable throughout the season. The next two on the list show the problems with relying on ERA as an indicator of profitability, however. San Diego has the third best bullpen ERA and the best opposing batting average, yet both their record and their betting performance have been disappointing. Their problem isn't who the starters hand the ball to, it's the starters themselves. Next up is St. Louis. The defending champs' bullpen has been performing as well as can be hoped, yet the wins just aren't coming, and they have been burning bettors' money all year.
It's also not as simple as assuming that a team is a bad bet just because they have a bad bullpen. The worst collection of relief arms out there, by a wide margin, belongs to Tampa Bay. They have a collective ERA of 5.52, and their .297 opposing batting average is high enough to make anyone look like an all-star when facing them. I very rarely bet on this team, and even still I've watched my money go down the toilet twice when it looked like a sure victory. Despite the crimes against humanity that this unit has committed, though, the Devil Rays have, by a small margin, been profitable over the year.
Though it's not particularly useful as a predictive tool, there is at least one bullpen stat that provides a good indicator of the betting success of a team - the difference between saves and blown saves. Milwaukee has had 14 more saves than blown saves, and Boston is just behind them with 12. Those have been the two most profitable teams all year. Atlanta and Arizona are next on the list, and they are both profitable. On the other end, two teams have had more blown saves than saves - Washington and the Yankees - and both teams have been betting disasters. Toronto and Florida both have just one more save than blown save, and both could have caused bankruptcy on the year. The gap between the stats isn't the cause of a team's success or failure, but it's a quick way to get a sense of the sustainability of their efforts.
In the absence of a quick statistical shortcut to evaluating bullpens, you actually have to do your homework to find the profitable opportunities. That's the kind of thing you have probably heard dozens of times before, and you probably know that you should, but it's easier to know what you should do in theory than to actually know exactly what you should be studying. The possibilities are endless, but here's a quick and dirty list of five places to start:
1. Long outings. If a game goes really long, or if a couple of games in a row go fairly long, then the bullpen has probably been forced to throw more than is ideal. Tired bullpens can lead to future losses.
2. Struggling starters. Take Jeff Weaver, for example. The way he is pitching now he's lucky to make it out of the second inning. That provides a lot of strain on the bullpen. That's not enough in and of itself to bet against Seattle, but if that's coupled with a tired bullpen then it could be a possibility.
3. Transactions. With the exception of the closer, the bullpen usually isn't filled with superstar pitchers. When a team is struggling or overcome with injuries, the talent level can really be challenging. Look for teams with a string of bullpen injuries, or one that has been recharging their troops with minor leagues or arms that other teams have discarded. That can indicate a bullpen in trouble.
4. Managerial tendencies. Not all managers use bullpens in the same way. Some like to use a pitcher for as long as they can, while others will alternate arms to create ideal match-ups between pitches and batters. Managers are usually pretty consistent when it comes to their habits, so the trick is to identify situations where they won't be able to do what they do best. If a manager is forced out of his comfort zone, profit can ensue.
5. Changes in form. It's not good enough to look at how a bullpen has fared over the course of the season. Even the worst bullpens can string together a couple of good games in a row, and the very best bullpens will occasionally throw a couple of games in a row away. By tracking how bullpens have been doing you can often spot, and profit from, these blips.

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Check Doc's Sports main Web site for 2007 MLB schedules, including the 2007 St. Louis Cardinals schedule and daily updated baseball content.